The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) released the latest Short-term Energy Outlook report on October 8, showing that in 2024, the US coal production is 510 million short tons (463 million tons), slightly higher than the previous month's expected value of 501 million short tons, down 11.7% from 577.5 million short tons in 2023.

In 2025, US coal production is expected to be 484.6 million short tons, down 4.98% year on year and also higher than the previous month's forecast of 475 million short tons.

In terms of exports, the Short-term Energy Outlook report predicts that in 2024, the United States will export 105.3 million short tons of coal, which is slightly lower than the 105.4 million short tons projected in August, and an increase of 5.09% from 2023 exports.

Among them, metallurgical coal exports are expected to be 52.9 million short tons, an increase of 3.52%; Thermal coal exports are expected to be 52.4 million short tons, up 6.72% year-on-year.

According to the report, U.S. coal exports in 2025 are expected to be 102.8 million short tons, slightly lower than the previous month's forecast of 103.6 million short tons. Among them, metallurgical coal exports are expected to be 51.8 million short tons, and thermal coal exports are expected to be 50.9 million short tons.

In terms of consumption, the report shows that in 2024, the total coal consumption in the United States is expected to decline from 425.9 million short tons in 2023 to 410.5 million short tons, a decrease of 3.62%.

Among them, coal consumption in the power industry is expected to fall 3.54% year-on-year to 373.5 million short tons, and coal consumption in retail and other industries is expected to be 21.4 million short tons, down 6.55% year-on-year.

In 2025, U.S. coal consumption is expected to be 422 million short tons, slightly higher than the 421.7 million short tons projected in the previous month, an increase of 2.8% year over year. Among them, coal consumption in the power industry is expected to be 384.5 million short tons, and coal consumption in retail and other industries is expected to be 21.5 million short tons.

According to the Short-term Energy Outlook, U.S. energy-related carbon dioxide emissions are expected to increase slightly by 0.29 percent in 2024 compared to 2023. Among them, coal-related carbon dioxide emissions are expected to fall by 3.22 percent year-on-year. In 2025, energy-related CO2 emissions are projected to increase by 0.36% compared to 2024.

Article Source：sxcoal.com